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The presidential race

USA-2012

QuestCinq.com

October 15, 2012

By Jean-Wilsy Simon

6:50 PM update, Monday :

” President Barack Obama retained a slim lead over Republican challenger Mitt Romney in the Reuters/Ipsos daily tracking poll on Monday, as he appeared to have stemmed the bleeding from his poor first debate.” (Reuters)

As we are approaching the November 6th, the presidential race in US is getting more difficult to predict. According to most polls Mr. Obama advance on Mr. Romney is ‘almost insignificant at this time’.

Mr. Obama big advantages, in the polls, from early September had evaporated. For instance, from a Palm Beach Post article, we learn “A new Florida poll by the Democratic firm Public Policy Polling shows Mitt Romney edging President Obama in Florida by a 49-to-48 percent margin — a net gain of five points for the Republican nominee since a PPP poll in late September showed Obama with a 50-to-46 percent edge”.

The next presidential debate will be detrimental to the race. One thing is certain for now, maybe, it’s been in the mind of many that this election will be a very close one. However, we need to keep in mind; the popular vote does not guarantee The White House. It’s the Electoral College who determines the winner in US.

Gallup daily count stays apparently unchanged today:

Registered voters

Obama 48%Romney 46%

Likely voters

Romney 49% Obama 47%

We are all waiting to see what tomorrow will bring to either side. For now, it seems Mr. Obama has to stop Mr. Romney’s momentum; if he wants another 4 years.

In case, you do not believe what you just read, let’s chare the thoughts of Nate Silver from The NewYorktimes “For the last week or so, we have been hoping to decode a confusing polling landscape. President Obama still appeared to hold a narrow Electoral College lead on the basis of state-by-state surveys, while national polls were suggestive of a tie or perhaps the slightest edge for Mitt Romney.”

Indeed, this election is a very serious matter. If you are care about any issue, one way to express your voice, you have to vote. Every vote is important because the race is so close. The end result will be counting the votes, including yours hopefully!

We’ll be back.

 

 

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